3pm update – the Powell continues

As Powell continues, US equities are rather twitchy. SPX has a provisional floor from 4337, with VIX already have turned red.

sp’60min

VIX’60min

–

So… no rate hike, but one appears due July 26th.

The bond market merits attention…

TNX, daily

A break >4.10% will merit alarm bells, and should broadly break the equity market. For now… we’ve still a fair way to go, and its partly why I’m extremely cautious.

Regardless of the exact close… I remain content to watch, as the s/t setup just isn’t good enough.

*I’d accept I could have shorted this morning, and exited for a clear 40pt swing.

I need to get outside, before I start hitting the remove follower button…