10am update – opening chop

US equities open in chop mode, leaning on the weaker side, as the market is s/t overbought. VIX is churning the 23s… and is s/t cyclically low. USD is u/c in the DXY 91s.

sp’60min

VIX’60min

Summary

No opening gap to be concerned about. S/t momentum is slowly weakening.

Two key scenarios…. today sees a bull flag develop… or price weakens, with yellow gap tagged late today/Wed’.


notable stock: ZM

Earnings/outlook certainly pleased mr market. Yes, the valuation is ludicrous, but price structure is clean, with a key low of the $331s.. holding, and pushing upward. A number of upgrades are helping today.

notable stock: FUBO

Fubo has earnings in AH, and the stock is catching some speculative buying. Options market is expecting a major post earnings move of +/- 15%.

notable weakness: NIO

NIO remains loss making, whilst the Growth remains strong. The company warned of a slow down in China… and the market isn’t happy with that. Broadly… there is much hysteria in this one.

notable airline: UAL

Yesterday settled with a black candle, and that does suggest the stock will turn red (at least briefly) at some point today.