10am update – the CPI

US equities open choppy, with the SPX fully filling last Friday’s gap. VIX has also filled last Friday’s gap.

sp’60min

VIX’60min

Summary

The inflation data was certainly better than expected…
Headline y/y: 2.4% vs 2.7% prior
Core y/y: 2.5% vs 2.6% prior

… giving the market renewed confidence of rate cuts.
I expect the next cut…post Powell, in June.

As for equities… we’re s/t cyclically low, and inclined for net upside into the long weekend.


notable stock: AAPL

Daily momentum due to turn negative later today, or at the Tuesday open.

notable weakness: CLF

Yesterday saw an ugly close beneath key price threshold and the 200dma.
Today isn’t much better.

notable silver ETF: SLV, 5min

I’d consider buying on any cooling wave, but ahead of a long weekend… not really.

notable miner: PAAS

Higher with silver