VIX and Index update

US equity indexes closed on a positive note, SPX +60pts (0.9%) at 6834. Nasdaq comp’ +1.3%. Dow +0.4%. The Transports settled +0.2%. R2K +0.8%

sp’daily5

nasdaq comp’

r2k – via proxy IWM

transports

Summary

SPX: a second day higher, settling +0.9% to 6834. Thursday’s black candle failed to play out. Daily momentum ticked back upward, if remaining marginally negative. Bears could argue structure is a bear flag.

Whilst the s/t cyclical setup and structure favoured the bulls, today’s net gain was stronger than expected, not least for a quad-opex.

NAS: a second day higher, settling +1.3% to 23107. Thursday’s black candle failed to play out. Daily momentum ticked back upward, if remaining marginally negative. Bears could argue structure is a bear flag.

R2K: a second day higher, settling +0.8% to 250.60. Thursday’s black candle failed to play out. Daily momo is fractionally negative. Bears could argue structure is a bear flag.

Trans: a second day higher, settling +0.2% to 17557. Daily momentum threatens to turn negative within 1-2 days.

VIX’daily


Volatility was ground lower into the weekend, the VIX settling -11.6% to 14.91. Daily momentum ticked back lower, settling fractionally negative.

VIX weekly

Volatility declined for the third week of four, net lower by -5.3%. Weekly momentum ticked lower for a fourth week, and is marginally negative.

The default is to expect a broadly subdued VIX all the way into January.


A little more… by 6pm EST