VIX and Index update

US equity indexes mostly closed on a positive note, SPX +37pts (0.6%) at 6263. Nasdaq comp’ +0.9%. Dow +0.5%. The Transports settled -0.3%. R2K +1.1%

sp’daily5

nasdaq comp’

r2k

transports

Summary

SPX: settling +0.6% to 6263. RSI 70s… overbought.

NAS: printing a new hist’ high of 20645, and settling +0.9% to 20611. Tuesday’s black candle failed to play out.

R2K: breaking a new cycle high, settling +1.1% to 223.59

Trans: settling -0.3% to 15902. Daily momo is slowly weakening, as the ‘old leader’ remains stuck under key resistance.

VIX’daily

Volatility was ground lower for a second day, the VIX settling -5.2% to 15.94. Daily momentum is fractionally negative. VIX is clearly on the very low side… a case of ‘the only way is up’.

To be clear though, I see the VIX trade as dead until the flip side of Labor Day (Sept’1st). Trying to trade a move from 16/15s > 19/20s… is largely pointless.

Looking ahead by 6pm EDT