12pm update – lunchtime chop

US equities are choppy, if mostly net higher… helped by a cooling wave in bond yields.

sp’60min

VIX’60min

Summary

Even if we settle net higher, the week looks set to end on a weak note, as based on the bigger daily momentum cycles. We could also expect a case of the more cautious selling into the long weekend.

NEWS: The US Treasury will end putting new one cent coins into circulation in 2026. If anything, its a sign of inflation!  How long until ALL items are simply rounded off to the nearest dollar?


notable stock: TTWO

My m/t target remains $135. Take-Two raised $1bn yesterday, arguably to help complete GTA VI… due May 2026.

notable retail: URBN

Earnings (Wed’ AH) were rather good…
EPS $1.16 vs 0.82est. Rev’ y/y +10.7% to $1.33bn vs 1.28est.

Still… the consumer IS broken. Only a few selective names are managing to achieve net yearly increases in sales.

notable miner: FCX

Freeport restrained… with copper currently around $4.65
The m/t concern should be recession

notable steel: CLF

Back in the sixes !  Absolute… m/t horror, and that is with SPX 5800s.