11am update – morning chop

US equities are choppy, if mostly leaning weak. The Nasdaq is notably resilient.

sp’60min

VIX’60min

Summary

Its 11am… typical turn time, with the market inclined to lean back upward.
I have to expect at least a push to near 6K… but not this side of Christmas.
Whether we can settle above 6K… is the issue.


notable semicon: INTC

Spurious gain, for what has been a horrific year… still net lower by around -57%

notable weakness: MSTR

Microstrategy lower with Bitcoin.

notable retail: WMT

The biggest down day in over a year, but its still net higher for the year by around +72%. You could argue some of the ‘big money’ are just cashing out gains… tax-related selling.

notable defence: LMT

Cooling after a rather strong Friday. M/t bullish defense stocks across 2025

As night falls… its time for lunch