Looking ahead

It was a mixed Tuesday in equity land, the SPX printing 5441, if recovering to settle +24pts (0.4%) to 5495.

sp’weekly1b

Summary

SPX: as things are, we’re net higher for the week by +87pts (1.6%). Weekly momentum is still increasingly negative. There are multiple aspects of resistance around 5500, which should hold, with another swing lower to around 5350 before the weekend.

Looking ahead

Wednesday will see CPI, consensus:
Headline y/y: 2.6% vs 2.9% prior
Core y/y: 3.2% vs 3.2% prior

Other data: EIA Pet’

Earnings: $DBI $VRA $TEN $OXM $LSAK

Final note

Stagflation Begins

‘We are looking at increased inflation into 2028 caused by shortages and war.’ – Armstrong, and I do lean to that outlook.

Even Goldman Sachs were touting ‘go to gold’ today.

*I’ve not watched this yet, but I’d agree silver is struggling due to China.

The Lin on oil… having printed the $65s today.

*I’ve not watched this one either, but I think it’ll interest some of you.

Ms. Cambone with the Gayed, whom used to block me and some of my followers… for no known reason!

The Judge and Sachs… highly recommended.

The Tuesday ‘show’

Trump and Harris are due 9pm EDT. Yours truly will be in bed… 2am BST, and I guess I’ll watch via a Youtube feed.

Its difficult not to see Trump fairing better, as Ms. Harris has been in hiding… much like Biden did in June. Regardless… it is a freakshow, and I especially liked this one…

In many ways… its just a sad situation, as the future of the USA depends on either of these two. As young Anakin once said… “I don’t think the system works”.

Goodnight from London