12pm update – lunchtime chop

US equities remain choppy. Price action is arguably just bearish consolidation ahead of another wave lower. VIX is building a floor from around the key 20 threshold.

sp’60min

VIX’60min

Summary

Considering this morning’s style of price action, a new cycle low <4127 appears realistic before the close, with VIX >21. It’d really help if VIX spiked >23.


notable bond yield proxy: TNX’60min

Yields are a little higher. If the main market gets hit next week, I’d look for yields to cool, with bonds catching a ‘fear bid’… if briefly.

notable fin: SQ

The horror continues… breaking a new cycle low.

notable fin: COF

Post earnings jump for Capital One. I’m not a fan.

notable stock: AAPL

Yesterday’s break <200dma can’t be over-emphasised.
Today’s gains remain… shaky.

Time to catch a sunset…