VIX and Index update

US equity indexes closed rather mixed, SPX +1pt (0.02%) at 4274. Nasdaq comp’ +0.2%. Dow -0.2%. The Transports settled +0.1%. R2K +1.0%

sp’daily5

nasdaq comp’

r2k

transports

Summary

SPX: printing a new cycle low of 4238, bouncing to 4292, and settling +1pt at 4274. Today’s candle is spike from purple gap, black, and leans s/t bearish. I’d note the 200dma at 4196. Below that.. its open air to psy’4K.

NAS: printing a new cycle low of 12963, if settling +0.2% to 13092. Today’s candle is black, and leans s/t bearish. I’d note the 200dma in the 12500s.

R2K: settling +1.0% to 176.06. Primary target are the 167s.

Trans: printing a new cycle low of 14700, and settling +0.1% to 14828. Today’s candle is spiky from the 200dma, but its black, and leans net bearish. Crashy bears could seek the April low of 13400.

VIX’daily

Volatility was mixed, the VIX printing a new cycle high of 19.71, but cooling to settle -3.8% to 18.22. Momentum subtly ticked upward, and is on the VERY high side.

Equity bears should be seeking a weekly VIX settlement above the key 20 threshold, with an SPX close below the 200dma.

VIX upper monthly bollinger offers the 33s, which would arguably equate to SPX 4K.

Looking ahead by 6pm EST