3pm update – into the close

US equities are choppy, if set for a third consecutive net daily decline. VIX is not supportive of weak equities, and is actually a little lower in the 27s.

sp’60min

VIX’60min

Summary

A very messy s/t setup.
The s/t cyclical setup leans to the bulls.
Bears can deem structure as a bear flag.
A more natural floor would be from around 3700, before a 1-2 week bounce.


notable stock: COST

Costco has earnings in AH.  Low margin retail… no thanks.

notable weakness: AMD

A really rough day for the semicons. M/t bearish psy’50/48 zone.

notable health: PFE

We’ve a rather strong reversal from orange gap. S/t bullish. M/t bearish.

notable stock: TSLA

Difficult day for Tesla, not helped by news of a 1.1M recall on a software problem. However, Elon notes… it will NOT be a physical recall.  The stock is s/t prone to bouncing. M/t bearish psy’200/175.

back at the close…