10am update – opening weakness

US equities open moderately lower, but then… its a Thursday. Red gap of sp’4329/20 is realistic today, before a bounce (if choppy) into the weekend/OPEX.

sp’60min

VIX’60min

Summary

We should see further downside… if choppy this morning. Market will be highly inclined to floor from red gap, and then broad chop into the weekend.


notable stock: OXY

Energy stocks struggling with the main market and oil.
Mizuho maintain ‘buy’, 37>39.
Yours truly is now looking for the 25s.. before resuming upward.

notable weakness: TSM

Earnings were broadly good, but we’re seeing a sell the news event. Yesterday’s black candle played out. Absolutely still m/t bullish.

notable strength: NFLX

Yesterday saw a legacy gap fully filled. Today there is chatter that Netflix wants to move into gaming. I’d almost wonder if some don’t think they might buy Gamestop?

notable miner: GOLD

Barrick Gold lower with the sector, as yesterday’s black candle has played out. I’m almost tempted to add, but will instead just focus on picking up some energy stocks… but again…. NOT this side of OPEX.