Closing Brief

US equity indexes closed on a weak note, SPX -7pts (0.2%) at 4219. Nasdaq comp’ -0.1%. Dow -0.4%. The Transports settled -1.2%.

sp’60min

Summary

closing hour action: minor chop, but leaning a little weak to break a new intraday low.

*awaiting earnings from GME

… and that concludes another sleepy day in equity land. It was a clear case of the market churning ahead of the very important CPI data. Either Thursday is going to see a jump to new historic highs, or it will implode on ‘overly hot’ inflation data.

I suppose its possible we could see new highs with a intraday reversal, but its the least likely of the three scenarios, not least for a Thursday.


notable stock: F

A fourth day of cooling.  If sp’4000, then the $13s would be tested.

notable stock: TSLA

Tesla remains short/mid term broken. Clearly vulnerable with any main market cooling, and/or lower crypto.

notable stock: OXY

Not a great day for Occidental. Arguably just s/t cooling. I fully exited out of this earlier… looking to buy back with sp’4000. I’d fully accept that is perhaps being ‘overly hopeful’.

notable stock: CLF

Cleveland Cliffs soaring to the highest level since 2013. The only news I could find was…

Event begins at t+18min. Minor in the scheme of things, but it seems like it was the excuse to the algos.

I like the stock/sub-sector, but both CLF and X will be vulnerable to any main market cooling. I’m looking to pick up X with sp’4000… if we get there.

CLF resistance $26s, with secondary of 39/40, the latter is possible if sp’4400/4500s by late summer.


A mostly cloudy… if warm day. Have a good evening.

more later on the VIX and Indexes by 6pm EST