10am update – opening chop

US equities open broadly flat, but its enough for the SPX to print a new hist’ high of 6374. VIX has broken a new multi-month low. Copper has cooled back from a new hist’ high of $5.95 to $5.81

sp’60min

VIX’60min

Summary

With a new hist’ high, its a net bullish day… even if we close lower.  The s/t cyclical setup favours the bears into tomorrow… but we can’t expect much.


notable stock: TSLA

Knocked lower on earnings, which were (not surprisingly) pretty bad.
EPS 40cents vs 42est. Rev’ y/y -11.8% to $22.5bn vs 22.8est.

The stock is bouncing from s/t rising trend.

notable stock: GOOGL

Earnings were fine.
EPS $2.31 vs 2.18est. Rev’ y/y +13.8% to $96.4bn vs 94.0est.

The current candle is black… as even the bold are walking away.

notable Dow component: IBM

Earnings were fine…
EPS $2.80 vs 2.64est. Rev’ y/y +7.6% to $16.97bn vs 16.57est.

Yesterday’s black candle played out. Natural target is the 200dma

notable health: UNH

Unitedhealth says it has reached out to the DoJ, over a medicare billing probe. Natural washout target for Oct’… $225.
I expect an out of court settlement… aka… BRIBE, to the Feds of around $3.5bn. No one will go to jail… as there is little to no justice in the US system.