10am update – tariff weakness

US equities open moderately lower… clearly due to Trump threatening Canada with a 35% tariff as of August 1st. Copper $5.53

sp’60min

VIX’60min

Summary

S/t bearish… with support around 6220.
I just wonder what CPI-Tuesday will offer, which will be further complicated with the start of Q2 earnings season.


notable stock: AVAV

Higher on Hegseth… as Aeroviroment is involved in drones.
Recent capital raises… as this one looks good on a l/t basis.

The cautious will wait to buy this Oct, as $150 looks viable.

notable stock: LEVI

Earnings were mixed…
EPS 22cents vs 13est. Rev’ y/y +0.3% to $1.44bn vs 1.36est.

Annual sales were effectively flat… not a surprise as the US/western consumer is broke. At least its profitable.

notable strength: RCAT

As Hegseth is pushing for increased drone production.

 

notable miner: FCX

Freeport lower with the main market, and copper. The latter remains elevated, as the $6s are clearly coming.

UBS, buy>neutral, 45>50… one of those weird down/upgrades.