Pre-Market Brief

Good morning. US equity futures are moderately lower, SPX -35pts, we’re set to open at 6245. USD is +0.1% at DXY 97.39. The precious metals are broadly higher, Gold +0.6%, with Silver +1.1%. WTIC is +0.4% in the upper $66s.

sp’60min

Summary

Yesterday saw further positive leaning chop, with the SPX printing yet another new hist’ high of 6290. S/t momentum rolled over in the mid afternoon, settling marginally positive.

Overnight futures have been weak… as tariff man strikes again, this time, threatening a 35% tariff on Canada… as of August 1st. Again… its a threat, with Trump prone to kicking the can on such things.

As things are, we’re set to open moderately lower by around -35pts. S/t momentum will likely turn negative by 11am. I’d note the lower bollinger will be around 6220 this afternoon, as -60pts looks realistic.

The bulls should be more concerned about CPI-Tuesday. If inflation does tick just a little higher, then any vain hopes of a July 30th cut will have to be dropped.

Anyway… at least some opening downside will wake a few people up!


Early movers

AAPL -0.7%
AEM +0.5%
AIRO +6.2%, Hegseth pushing drone production
ALB -3.4%
AMC +8.7%, Wedbush, neutral>outperform, 3>4

AMD -0.5%
AVAV +2.8%, Hegseth pushing drone production
BAC -0.7%
CLF -1.2%
CLSK +2.8%

COIN +1.0%

Bitcoin surging… new hist’ high of $118K

XRP +7cents to $2.62… but relative to Bitcoin… its lagging.

CRSP -1.9%
CRWV -3.3%
FCX -2.2%, with copper -8cents to $5.50
HOOD -1.4%
JOBY -1.5%
JPM -0.4%, to kick off Q2 earnings season next Tuesday morning.

KTOS +3.3%, Hegseth pushing drone production
LEVI +5.7%, post earnings gains

MDT +3.1%, Citi, buy, 98>99
MSTR +2.4%
NEM +0.5%… with Gold printing $3348

NVDA -0.5%
OXY -0.4%
PAAS +1.0%… with silver printing $37.62.

PLTR -1.1%
RCAT +13.0%, Hegseth pushing drone production
RKLB -1.0%
SMR -1.2%

TSLA -0.4%
UAL -0.2%
UMAC +7.6%, Hegseth pushing drone production
UNG +1.3%, with Natgas $3.36

VIX +6.4% at 16.79


Overnight markets

Asian markets were fractionally mixed, whilst European markets are broadly lower…

Japan: -0.2% to 39569
China: +0.01% to 3510
Germany: currently -1.1% at 24184
UK: currently -0.6% at 8925

Have a good Friday