VIX and Index update

US equity indexes closed broadly lower, SPX -55pts (1.0%) at 5695. Nasdaq comp’ -1.2%. Dow -0.9%. The Transports settled -0.2%. R2K -0.8%

sp’daily5

nasdaq comp’

r2k

transports

Summary

SPX: an afternoon low of 5686, and settling -1.0% to 5695. Momentum ticked lower, if only marginally negative. Next support… the lower end of yellow gap 5618. To be decisive… bears need <5600, which would offer the mid 5300s… where the 200dma will be in Halloween week.

NAS: settling -1.2% to 17923. Price structure is an ascending wedge (not labelled) but any price action <50dma (<17400) would provisionally confirm it.

R2K: settling -0.8% to 217.45. Friday’s black candle played out.

Trans: settling -0.2% to 15782. Friday’s black candle played out. Today’s candle is a spiky hollow red reversal, and leans s/t bullish, if only early Tues’.

VIX’daily


Volatility picked up, the VIX printing 23.03, and settling +17.9% to 22.64.  Momentum ticked upward, and is on the moderately high side.

Some perspective…


More than anything, I’d note monthly momentum (green bar histogram) is accelerating to the upside, and threatens a far higher VIX. Considering the geo-political situation… with the uncertainty of the election, VIX 50s really wouldn’t be a surprise.


Looking ahead by 6pm EDT