Pre-Market Brief

Good morning. US equity futures are broadly lower, SPX -37pts, we’re set to open at 5518. USD is -0.02% at DXY 104.15. The precious metals are a little higher, Gold +$5, with Silver +0.3%. WTIC is +0.5% in the $77s.

sp’60min

Summary

Yesterday saw considerable chop, settling a little weak. S/t momentum weakened across the day, if still settling on the moderately high side.

Overnight futures have turned broadly lower, pressured by world markets, and somewhat by Tesla.

Ohh, and lets be clear, Tesla earnings were ‘mixed’ at best. I even saw someone else on X last night also note the valuation is ludicrous, with an FPE somewhere north of 100. On any basis… crazy.

In any case… we’re set to open -40pts or so, to tag red gap.

Two scenarios:
1. straight down to the 5440s
2. bounce from red gap, tag upside teal gap, and then resume lower to the 5440s.

I’m guessing the latter, as it’d cause max confusion, and if anything… Mr Market likes to wash out the most number of bulls AND bears. It should be an interesting day.


Early movers

AMD -1.3%… sustainably under the 200dma.

BSX +1.0%, EPS 62cents vs 58est. Rev’ y/y +14.5% to $4.1bn vs 4.0est. Positive guidance.

CB +0.9%, post earnings gains
CMG +0.1%, earnings due in AH

COIN +1.1%

Bitcoin is currently +0.9% at $66542

CRWD +0.8%, Crowdstrike blames ‘bug in quality control process’ caused the ‘bad data’ in a recent update. Wedbush, 385>315

DB -4.6%, garbage earnings.
DIS -0.3%
DJT -3.3%
ENPH +3.7%, post earnings gains

F -1.3%, in sympathy with Tesla. Earnings due in AH
FCX +0.2%, with copper u/c at $4.15

GD -0.7%, EPS $3.26 vs 3.28est. Rev’ y/y +18.0% to $12.0bn vs 11.5est. Broadly fine on higher defense demand.

GOOGL -3.6%, post earnings depression
GOLD +0.5%
INTC -0.9%
META -2.1%, concerns about EU regulators
MU -1.8%
NEM +0.6%… earnings due in AH

NFLX -0.5%
NVDA -1.7%
RIVN -3.4%, in sympathy with Tesla
SAN +2.2%, post earnings gains
SNAP -2.1%

SPOT +0.8%, Morgan Stanley, 370>400, Goldman, 320>425, Macquarie, 345>395

STX +4.8%, post earnings gains

T +2.7%, EPS 57cents inline. Rev’ y/y -0.3% to $29.8bn vs 30.0est. Guidance held.

TGT -0.5%

THC +5.1%, EPS $2.31 vs 1.90est. Rev’ y/y +0.4% to $5.1bn vs 5.0est. Positive guidance

TMO -3.1%, EPS $5.37 vs 5.12est. Rev’ y/y -1.4% to $10.5bn inline. Guidance inline.

TSLA -8.2%, post earnings upset

TXN +1.3%, post earnings gains

UNG -3.8%, with Natgas $2.11
V -3.4%, post earnings depression

VIX +4.0% at 15.30

VRT-3.3%, EPS 67cents vs 57est. Rev’ y/y +12.6% to $1.95bn vs 1.94est. Positive guidance.


Overnight markets

Asian markets were broadly lower, whilst European markets are leaning weak…

Japan: -1.1% to 39154
China: -0.5% to 2901
Germany: currently -0.7% at 18426
UK: currently -0.2% to 8153

Have a good Wednesday