10am update – opening chop

US equities open in minor chop mode. VIX is offering the equity bears nothing. USD is churning flat in the 102s. US 10yr has pushed to 4.00% again.

sp’60min

VIX’60min

Summary

ADP jobs: 164k vs 101k (prior revised).
Better than expected, and arguably Goldilocks for the equity bulls.

Purple gap fully filled.
The s/t cyclical setup favours the bulls.
Whilst ADP jobs hasn’t moved the market, there is always tomorrow with the BLS data.


notable stock: AAPL

Piper Sandler, overweight>neutral, 220>205
Cyclically VERY low… and near the 200dma, where the buyers should appear.

notable weakness: INTC

Market annoyed with lowered guidance from Intel’s ‘Mobileye’ division.
Opening candle is a reversal.

notable semicon: AMD

Early weakness (pressured by Intel), but swinging upward.
Bernstein 100>120, Piper Sandler 150>165

notable miner: NEM

Yesterday’s candle was a hollow red reversal, and whilst we’re currently sig’ lower, a lot can happen in six hours. More broadly, the miners need Gold to break and HOLD >$2100.