10am update – opening chop

US equities open a little choppy, if breaking yet another new cycle high. VIX remains repressed in the 14s. WTIC printed $75.86, if bouncing to the $77s.

sp’60min

VIX’60min

Summary

*Powell appears to have been a non-event.

A new cycle high of 4390, but this market is very tired.
The most bearish case… 4260s… and settling Nov’17th OPEX around 4300.

I’m seeing others (such as Heisenberg on Twitter) also touting …. ‘bullish >4400… bearish <4100’, as everything in between is a mess.


notable stock: DIS

Disney has earnings in AH. Cyclically, the setup is mixed.

notable weakness: WBD

Earnings: EPS -17cents vs -9est. Rev’ $9.98bn vs 9.96est.
I saw subs were -700K.

https://www.indiewire.com/news/business/barbie-warner-bros-discovery-q3-earnings-max-subscribers-1234923624/

notable energy: OXY

Earnings (Tues’ AH), EPS $1.18 vs 0.88est. Rev’ y/y -22.1% to $7.4bn vs 7.0est. Broadly fine.

notable fin: HOOD

Earnings (Tues’ AH): EPS -9cents vs -10est. Rev’ y/y +29.4% to $467M vs 479est.  Robinhood has no l/t future. Its just a matter of who buys up the client list. Would Schwab want it?