Closing Brief

US equity indexes closed broadly higher, SPX +40pts (0.9%) at 4358. Nasdaq comp’ +1.4%. Dow +0.7%. The Transports settled +1.6%. R2K +2.7%

sp’60min

Summary

closing hour action: printing a new cycle high of 4373… if cooling back… a little. S/t momentum continued to weaken, and is due to turn negative Monday morning. I’d note the 38% fib’ now stands at 4270.

… and that concludes the week. It was one bizarrely bullish week. Partly ‘bargain buyers’, bullish chasers, and most certainly.. a very powerful short squeeze.

Whilst a cooling wave is due, a subsequent up wave could easily get us to around 4400 ahead of OPEX. The wild card…. is the middle east.


notable bond yield proxy: TNX, 60min

So the US 10yr printed 4.48%… some 51bps below the recent high.
Is that really it, on a multi-year basis?
I’m still inclined to see a secondary wave higher in inflation, not least as govt’ spending remains completely out of control.

notable bond ETF: TLT

Bonds powering upward as yields were crushed.
Today’s candle is black from the 50dma.
For the record, I’d favour almost ANY stock above a govt’ bond.

notable stock: SQ

Earnings were fine, with the stock jumping on news of a $1bn buyback.


Looking to the west from my bedroom, which is as close to going out today as I came. It feels like its been raining for weeks.

Have a good evening

more later on the VIX and Indexes by 6pm EST