3pm update – into the close

US equities are choppy, if significantly lower. The SPX has cooled from 4365 to break a new intraday low of 4347. VIX is set for a close in the 16/15s… still relatively low.

sp’60min

VIX’60min

Summary

Suffice to add… we’re set for broad/sig’ declines.
Even if Friday opens positive, I’d look for a downside reversal.

On no basis does 4335 look like it will hold.
From there… m/t rising trend… currently 4240s, and 4250s next week.

*I will hold overnight…
Block’1 SPY Oct’20th $430
Block’2.. a ‘hold until Monday Oct’2nd’ SPY crash position

More on those in AH.


notable bond yield proxy: TNX,60min

Yields just seeing ‘bullish consolidation’.
How long until the mainstream start wondering about 5.00% ?

notable stock: NVDA

The AI hysteria continues to be ground out.
Natural target $346s.

notable strength: FDX

Earnings weren’t as great as some believe. The smarter ones will arguably be selling into the jump.

notable retail: TGT

The horror continues… as psy’ $100 is the natural target.

back at the close…