11am update – morning chop

US equities are choppy, if mostly leaning upward. VIX is cooling back, set to slip into the 17s. USD is -0.4% at 105.91.  US 10yr 4.65%

sp’60min

VIX’60min

Summary

Ongoing price action isn’t offering the bears anything, with the bulls able to argue that 4238 is a s/t low.

*special note…

Yours truly is trying to listen to the style of price action. I didn’t like what I saw in early morning… hence an effective ‘wave the white flag’.

I see little point in holding a position if the style of price action no longer supports it. I’d rather recover 70% from a position, than see it expire for 0% next Tuesday at 4pm.

I don’t expect to do anything until next Tues/Wed’, when we should be around teal gap 4370/4400s. That’d make for a comfortable re-short. Right now, I’d be looking at the SPY Nov’17th $430 PUTS… currently around $10.00, but should decline to $6.00 if sp’4370s.


notable stock: MSFT

Reflective of the main market, trying to find a s/t floor.
Natural upside resistance… 50dma.

notable weakness: PFE

Yet another new multi-year low.
I’d keep in mind the March 2020 $22s.

notable retail: TGT

No news… just ongoing m/t horror.

notable miner: NEM

Newmont still struggling, with gold printing $1885.
Shareholder vote to approve the bid for ‘Newcrest’ due Oct’11th.

Time for lunch