10am update – opening weakness

US equities open moderately lower. VIX 17s isn’t offering the equity bears anything. USD is +0.4% at 101.53.

sp’60min

VIX’60min

Summary

Its a Tuesday, and equity bears should be very mindful, there will be HIGH threat of an upside reversal, not least from around 11.30am.

I still see the 4160s as more probable than not.


notable stock: PYPL

Earnings were questionably ‘fine’, but the market is still annoyed.

notable Dow component: BA

RyanAir with a possible order of up to 300x 737MAX jets.

*I’d certainly still argue the 737MAX is an inherently unstable plane, but hey… money buys a lot of positivity from the political class and the FAA.

notable semicon: SWKS

Post earnings upset… as the market isn’t happy with the weak outlook.
Its not helping the sector. Massive opening reversal, as there are buyers out there!

notable miner: ALB

Scotiabank, sector-perform>outperform, 315>250.

*I did see news yesterday of a ‘less communist than normal’ election victory in Chile. I’m not aware if that means the plan to nationalise the Lithium mines is going to be cancelled.

I would absolutely favour Lithium Americas (LAC), although it a work in progress. Further, I ain’t buying it back until the main market has been smashed. Right now, I’ll be looking at Oct’.