1pm update – oil and energy

US equities remain in a holding pattern ahead of the Fed. Meanwhile, WTIC is currently -0.7% in the $83s. The energy sector ETF of XLE is currently net lower for the week by -0.2% at $77.47.

USO daily

XLE weekly

Summary

WTIC/USO: oil swung from the $86s to $82s. The drop is surprising, after the initial spike on geo-political tensions. Support 77/76s…. which looks probable with renewed downside in the main market.

XLE: energy stocks are higher with the main market. S/t bullish, if only a day.

*again… to be clear, I see short oil/energy as the ‘absolutely no way’ trade. There shall remain threat of a wild card event… not least Russia/Ukraine, which could see oil hyper spike back above $100 within 0.3 seconds.

notable stock: OXY

Struggling relative to the sector.

notable stock: RIG

The stock is a short/mid term mess. The $1s look a high threat, not least if sp’3400 or lower.

Equities: sp’60min

Chop chop… as is natural… into the Fed.