11am update – morning chop

US equities are choppy, if broadly weak, not helped by the US 10yr printing a new cycle high of 3.70%, and the USD +0.6% at 111.07.

sp’60min

VIX’60min

Summary

Its now merely a case of whether you think 3700 acts as a s/t floor, with a bounce into early/mid Oct’, …  or just straight down. From a pure cyclical perspective, the s/t setup does NOT favour the bears.
I can’t be involved.


notable Dow component: AAPL

Reflective of the main market. On a bounce… teal gap would be natural target.

notable semicon: INTC

S/t oversold… and increasingly prone to bouncing.
M/t bearish 21/20.. as on track by around early Nov’.

notable energy: RIG

Yet another reminder… this one is broken, and looks due a foray into the $1s by early Nov’.

notable bond ETF: TLT

Any price action in the 103s would merit alarm bells, with open air to the 82s… which perhaps equates to the US 10yr around 5.0%.

Time for a much needed lunch…