11am update – morning chop

US equities are choppy, if still leaning on the weaker side. Regardless of the rest of today, the threat remains a ‘hotter than expected’ CPI print. WTIC printed $80.12.

sp’60min

VIX’60min

Summary

A daily close >4700 looks a stretch, and by late afternoon, the hourly cycle will be on the high side.


notable stock: X

US Steel whacked with the sector, due to Wolfe Research. I still really like the stock (same for CLF), but will wait another 1-2 days.

notable weakness: F

Ford lower for a third day. Cyclically… still high.

notable strength: OXY

Energy stocks are (annoyingly) strong, helped with WTIC $80s. I will not chase this!

notable stock: MOS

Mosaic remains s/t tired… due further cooling, as momentum is due to turn negative. I’d like the 50dma $37s.

Time for a light lunch…