VIX and Index update

US equity indexes mostly closed significantly higher, SPX +41pts (0.9%) at 4395. Nasdaq comp’ +1.0%. Dow +1.0%. The Transports settled -0.5%. R2K +1.5%

sp’daily5

nasdaq comp’

R2K

transports

Summary

SPX: settling +41pts (0.9%) to 4395. Today’s candle is rather spiky from within the upside gap. Thursday threatens some cooling. Momentum has started to tick upward.  I’d note the 50dma at 4436. A weekly close above it… would be useful.

NAS: settling +1.0% to 14896… fractionally above the 50dma. I’d note the 10MA around 15K. A weekly close above 15k would give some confidence that Monday was a ‘one day wonder’ for the bears.

R2K: settling +1.5% to 220.83. Yesterday’s black candle did NOT play out. It remains broad chop since Feb’. I still expect an eventual bullish breakout. If seen, it will have massive implications for the rest of the market into early 2022.

Trans: a fourth day lower, settling -0.5% to 14000, largely due to FedEx, which also impacted UPS.

VIX’daily

With broadly higher equities, and with the fed out of the way, volatility was ground lower, the VIX settling -14.3% to 20.87.  Orange gap fully filled. Momentum has started to ticked lower. Now its merely a case of whether we see a weekly settlement above or below the key 20 threshold.

Looking ahead by 6pm EST