3pm update – into the close

US equities remain choppy, but most indexes look due to settle comfortably above the opening lows. VIX remains above the key 20 threshold. USD is +0.5% at 93.60… which is a particular pressure on commodity land.

sp’60min

VIX’60min

Summary

Suffice to add… regardless of the exact close, its been a recovery day. Whilst there remain a distinct number of crash callers, its still pretty laughable. Hell, even sp’4K wouldn’t negate the m/t bullish trend.

VIX did print a new cycle high of 24.74, but the SPX sure didn’t break a new intra low. With OPEX tomorrow, the setup favours the bulls… if mostly chop.


notable stock: AMAT

Applied Materials has earnings in AH, which should be good, with a very positive outlook. I’d favour Taiwan Semicon’ (TSM)… although yes… the cautious will leave the latter alone, as we’re another day closer to China sending an invasion force.


notable energy: OXY

A new intraday low… with no sign of a s/t floor.

notable strength: NVDA

Strong gains for Nvidia… justified on good earnings. Various upgrades are helping.

notable Steel: X

Steel stocks hit very hard, but it just makes for a washout. M/t bullish 37/39s, which look almost bearish, relative to Credit Suisse $49s.

back at the close…