1pm update – oil and energy

US equities remain choppy, if leaning positive. Meanwhile, WTIC is currently -2.5% in the $63s. The energy sector ETF of XLE is currently net lower for the week by -7.8% in the $45.58s.

USO daily

XLE weekly

Summary

WTIC/USO: oil has printed $62.41, if recovering into the $63s. Support zone is 63/60 zone. Today’s higher dollar isn’t helping. We’ve seen an effective >20% retrace since early July.

XLE: energy stocks are still sliding with near zero sign of a s/t floor, with the mid July low (surprisingly) having been taken out.

*I hold long the sector via OXY, SLB, MRO, RIG. The one solace, at least I bought back from ‘reasonable’ levels. Those holding since early June have had a really rough time.

notable stock: OXY

Occidental reflective of the sector, with no sign of a floor/turn. RSI 28s, the lowest since Sept’2020.

Equities: sp’60min

S/t momentum remains on the low side, as the setup favours the bulls into Friday-OPEX.