VIX and Index update

US equity indexes closed broadly lower, SPX -47pts (1.1%) at 4400. Nasdaq comp’ -0.9%. Dow -1.1%. The Transports settled -0.8%.

sp’daily5

nasdaq comp’

transports

Summary

SPX: a day of considerable minor chop, until the FOMC minutes appeared, giving the algos the excuse for a late day spiral to 4397, and settling -47pts (1.1%) to 4400. Momentum ticked lower, and offers zero sign of a floor/turn. Soft support 4372/73 zone, and then the 50dma.

NAS: the fifth day lower of seven, settling -130pts (0.9%) to 14525… fractionally under the 50dma.

Trans: a second day lower, settling -120pts (0.8%) to 14704. Bulls could argue s/t price structure is a bull flag. Alarm bells if the 200dma and the recent low are lost, but that still seems very unlikely.

VIX’daily

Volatility was very subdued until the 2pm hour, when equities spiraled, with the VIX settling +20.4% to 21.57. Momentum has turned positive. Today’s close above the key 20 threshold is a real problem for Thursday.

As ever, Thursday will be ‘prime for the bears’, whilst OPEX will inherently offer a bounce, and broad chop into the weekend.

Looking ahead by 6pm EST