10am update – hot CPI

US equities open on a positive note, as the market is shrugging off pretty hot inflation data. The SPX has broken a new hist’ high, as s/t momentum has turned positive.

sp’60min

VIX’60min

Summary

CPI core (ex food/energy) y/y +3.8% vs 3.0 prior, and vs 3.4est.

On any basis… its a hot number, the highest since 1992.
The 4s are clearly coming. Headline CPI was 5.0%, but the fed/mainstream don’t like to focus on that, as they’d prefer to pretend that no one needs food or energy.

As for equities… with a new hist’ high, the market is breaking up and away. Any daily close >4238 would need to see the 4000 scenario dropped.

Chances of a full reversal today? Moderate.


notable bond ETF: TLT

Lower bonds… as yields are on the climb. For the moment… the market doesn’t much care.

notable fin: BAC

Higher yields…. bullish for the banks. Opening gains fading.

notable Dow component: BA

Boeing higher on hopes of more 737MAX orders.

notable miner: FCX

Freeport higher with the main market. The gains are impressive, as Copper was printing $4.44.

Yours truly is NOT in the mood to chase higher, and I’d certainly like to see how we settle, rather than just the intraday action.