3pm update – awaiting INTC, IBM

US equities are set for further minor chop into the close. VIX is in the low 21s, reflective of a very calm mainstream, with near zero concern of anything, least of all the millions of vapourised businesses since March 2020. USD is -0.4% in the 90.13s, as there remains underlying downward pressure.

sp’60min

VIX’60min

Summary

The setup remains similar to Jan’6/7th. I’d look for a divergent lower cycle high on Friday, before another rollover to tag/fill yellow gap, and then resumed upside to the 3900s.

In any case, regardless of the exact close… with a new hist’ high, its been a bullish day.


notable Dow component: INTC

Intel has earnings in AH, which should reasonable. I’d imagine the company will want the media/market to focus on the CEO change – due Feb’, as a sign the company is making progress. The stock remains a mess, and the cautious will leave alone. Options market expects a +/- move of 5%.


notable Dow component: IBM

IBM has earnings in AH. Options market expects a +/- move of 4%. I do NOT like this one, which has been broadly churning for many… oh so many years.

notable stock: F

Another wildly bullish day for Ford. S/t over-stretched, but a larger move to the 2014 $13s appears due in March/April.

notable stock: AAPL

Inspired by Huberty of Morgan Stanley, with a minor upgrade 144>152. Momentum set to turn positive on Friday… which is indirectly supportive of the notion the market will push a little higher early tomorrow, before another rollover.

back at the close…